Statball

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Kansas City Royals
5
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
4
0% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892124
Royals · 6 H, 0 ETigers · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
bot 9Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle flies out to left fielder Isaac Collins.
bot 9Colt Keith singles on a fly ball to left fielder Isaac Collins, deflected by shortstop Andrew Velazquez. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.
bot 9Hao-Yu Lee walks.
top 9Jac Caglianone grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Salvador Perez walks.
top 9Lane Thomas grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Massey 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Lane Thomas 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Collins 1-3
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-4 · Dillon Dingler 2-3, 2 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.