Statball

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Kansas City Royals
3
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
4
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892131
Royals · 9 H, 1 ETigers · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Salvador Perez grounds into a double play, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to shortstop Kevin McGonigle to pitcher Kyle Finnegan. Vinnie Pasquantino out at 2nd. Salvador Perez out at 1st.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a ground ball to right fielder Matt Vierling. Lane Thomas to 2nd.
top 9Lane Thomas walks.
top 9Carter Jensen strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson pops out to shortstop Andrew Velazquez.
bot 8Kerry Carpenter reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.
bot 8Dillon Dingler doubles (22) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Isaac Collins. Hao-Yu Lee scores.34
bot 8Riley Greene grounds out, second baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Hao-Yu Lee to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Josh Rojas 2-4, 1 RBI · Michael Massey 2-4
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James Outman 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Zach McKinstry 2-3 · Dillon Dingler 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.