Statball

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Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 4 H, 0 ETigers · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Loftin pops out to second baseman Hao-Yu Lee.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino strikes out swinging.
top 9Jac Caglianone flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
bot 8Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
bot 8Gleyber Torres walks.
top 8Salvador Perez grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Lane Thomas grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Carter Jensen flies out sharply to center fielder Matt Vierling.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Collins 1-3 · Salvador Perez 1-4 · Nick Loftin 1-3, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-3, 1 RBI · Zach McKinstry 1-3 · Gleyber Torres 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.