Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
2
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
10
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 4 H, 1 ETigers · 8 H, 1 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Rafael Marchán pops out softly to pitcher Beau Brieske.
top 9Derek Hill strikes out swinging.
top 9Gabriel Rincones Jr. grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Colt Keith grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 8Kevin McGonigle flies out to center fielder Derek Hill.
bot 8Jake Rogers lines out to right fielder Gabriel Rincones Jr.
top 8Bryson Stott grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 8Alec Bohm lines out to right fielder Matt Vierling.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Derek Hill 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4 · Gabriel Rincones Jr. 0-4
Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Colt Keith 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.