Statball

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Houston Astros
7
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
5
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 7 H, 1 ETigers · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Matt Vierling lines out sharply to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 10Hao-Yu Lee grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker. Zach McKinstry to 2nd.
bot 10Zach McKinstry singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 10Spencer Torkelson homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Riley Greene scores.75
bot 10Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
top 10Yainer Diaz grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 10Cam Smith grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 10Christian Walker homers (19) on a fly ball to left field. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes scores.73

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Isaac Paredes 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Raynel Delgado 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Christian Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Detroit Tigers
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.