Statball

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Houston Astros
8
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
6
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921113411
Astros · 16 H, 1 ETigers · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt Vierling flies out to right fielder Joey Loperfido.
bot 9Spencer Torkelson grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.
top 9Taylor Trammell grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Jake Meyers walks.
top 9Yainer Diaz grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Joey Loperfido out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Christian Walker to 2nd.
top 9Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene.
bot 8Riley Greene grounds out, second baseman Raynel Delgado to first baseman Christian Walker.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 4-5, 1 RBI · Cam Smith 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremy Peña 3-5, 2 RBI
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Zach McKinstry 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.