Statball

← All live games · Comerica Park

Houston Astros
2
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Astros · 5 H, 0 ETigers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colt Keith grounds into a double play, first baseman Christian Walker to shortstop Jeremy Peña. Riley Greene out at 2nd. Colt Keith out at 1st.
bot 9Riley Greene singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.
bot 9Dillon Dingler homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.21
bot 9Kerry Carpenter flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
top 9Jose Altuve flies out to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
top 9Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to third baseman Colt Keith.
top 9Isaac Paredes out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder James Outman. Jeremy Peña scores.20
top 9Yordan Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Trammell 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jeremy Peña 2-4 · Cam Smith 1-3
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Riley Greene 2-4 · Hao-Yu Lee 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.