Statball

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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 6 H, 1 ETigers · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dillon Dingler flies out to right fielder Jasson Domínguez.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to right fielder Jasson Domínguez.
bot 9Colt Keith grounds out, first baseman Paul Goldschmidt to pitcher David Bednar.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Anthony Volpe strikes out swinging.
top 9Cody Bellinger doubles (16) on a ground ball to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.
top 9Jasson Domínguez called out on strikes.
bot 8Ben Malgeri strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Paul Goldschmidt 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Jasson Domínguez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ben Rice 2-4
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-3 · Kevin McGonigle 2-5 · Zach McKinstry 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.