Statball

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New York Yankees
3
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
5
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 7 H, 2 ETigers · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Amed Rosario called out on strikes.
top 9Austin Wells grounds out, shortstop Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9José Caballero grounds out, second baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Kevin McGonigle pops out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Zach McKinstry grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. James Outman to 3rd.
bot 8James Outman walks.
top 8Jasson Domínguez strikes out swinging.
top 8Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to shortstop Zach McKinstry, deflected by pitcher Drew Sommers. Anthony Volpe to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 2-4 · Anthony Volpe 2-4
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-5, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.