Statball

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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 9 H, 0 ETigers · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Zach McKinstry flies out to left fielder Cody Bellinger.
bot 9Colt Keith grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Kerry Carpenter flies out to center fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Ben Rice flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Anthony Volpe grounds out, pitcher Enmanuel De Jesus to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Austin Wells strikes out swinging.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson pops out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Riley Greene lines out sharply to center fielder Spencer Jones.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Anthony Volpe 2-4 · José Caballero 1-4, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 3-4, 1 RBI · Ben Malgeri 2-3 · Zach McKinstry 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.