Statball

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Minnesota Twins
0
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
11
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789131213
Twins · 5 H, 0 ETigers · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brooks Lee grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Alex Jackson grounds out, shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Dillon Dingler pops out to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Matt Vierling grounds out, third baseman Brooks Lee to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Wenceel Pérez homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Jake Rogers scores.011
bot 8Zack Short flies out to center fielder Ryan Kreidler.
bot 8Jake Rogers walks.
bot 8Zach McKinstry homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.09

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Royce Lewis 2-4 · Victor Caratini 1-2 · Josh Bell 1-3
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colt Keith 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Riley Greene 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.