Statball

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Minnesota Twins
6
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
4
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 12 H, 1 ETigers · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
bot 9Dillon Dingler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kody Clemens. Wenceel Pérez scores. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.64
bot 9Matt Vierling flies out sharply to center fielder Byron Buxton.
bot 9Gleyber Torres walks. Wenceel Pérez to 2nd.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle flies out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 9Wenceel Pérez singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Martin.
top 9Royce Lewis flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9Josh Bell lines into a double play, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to shortstop Zach McKinstry. Brooks Lee out at 2nd.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Byron Buxton 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alex Jackson 2-3
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Gleyber Torres 3-4, 1 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 1-2, 2 RBI · Dillon Dingler 1-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.