Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
10
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 10 H, 0 ETigers · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Victor Caratini flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9Austin Martin walks.
top 9Josh Bell grounds out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Ryan Kreidler grounds out, shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Riley Greene flies out sharply to left fielder Kody Clemens.
bot 8Kerry Carpenter pops out to shortstop Tristan Gray.
bot 8Dillon Dingler called out on strikes.
top 8Brooks Lee flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Brooks Lee 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 4-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Riley Greene 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.