Statball

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Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
0
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 10 H, 0 ETigers · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Riley Greene grounds into a double play, second baseman Cole Young to shortstop Colt Emerson to first baseman Josh Naylor. Jahmai Jones out at 2nd. Riley Greene out at 1st.
bot 9Jahmai Jones walks.
bot 9Dillon Dingler flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle doubles (14) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Josh Naylor strikes out swinging.
top 9Julio Rodríguez flies out sharply to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Cole Young singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Jhonny Pereda lines out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 2-3, 2 RBI · Jhonny Pereda 2-4
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 1-3 · Colt Keith 1-3 · Jahmai Jones 0-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.