Statball

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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
7
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 11 H, 0 ETigers · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dominic Canzone strikes out swinging.
top 9Josh Naylor walks.
top 9Randy Arozarena doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Julio Rodríguez strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Patrick Wisdom grounds out, first baseman Spencer Torkelson to pitcher Will Vest.
bot 8Zach McKinstry strikes out swinging, catcher Mitch Garver to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 8Colt Keith strikes out swinging.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Riley Greene scores.37

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Colt Emerson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4 · Rob Refsnyder 2-2, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 3 batters faced over the last two days
Kerry Carpenter 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Torkelson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gleyber Torres 3-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.