Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
3
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 8 H, 1 ETigers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Colt Keith pops out to third baseman José Ramírez.
bot 10Spencer Torkelson pops out to first baseman Kyle Manzardo in foul territory.
bot 10Hao-Yu Lee strikes out swinging.
bot 10Zach McKinstry singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez. Wenceel Pérez scores.32
top 10Daniel Schneemann grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Colt Keith.
top 10Kyle Manzardo strikes out swinging.
top 10Chase DeLauter reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to third baseman Hao-Yu Lee. José Ramírez out at 3rd.
top 10José Ramírez doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Angel Martínez scores.31

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Chase DeLauter 2-4 · Travis Bazzana 1-2 · Daniel Schneemann 1-5
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-4, 1 RBI · Hao-Yu Lee 1-4 · Riley Greene 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.