Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 4 H, 1 ETigers · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jahmai Jones called out on strikes.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Matt Vierling to 2nd.
bot 9Matt Vierling singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
bot 9Gage Workman strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Steven Kwan flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Angel Martínez grounds into a double play, shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Colt Keith. Travis Bazzana out at 2nd. Angel Martínez out at 1st.
top 9Travis Bazzana singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Steven Kwan 1-2, 1 RBI · Kyle Manzardo 1-3
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Torkelson 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Riley Greene 2-2 · Hao-Yu Lee 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.