Statball

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Cleveland Guardians
8
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 9 H, 0 ETigers · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Zach McKinstry grounds out, second baseman Travis Bazzana to first baseman Rhys Hoskins.
bot 9Spencer Torkelson grounds out to first baseman Rhys Hoskins. Dillon Dingler to 3rd. Riley Greene to 2nd.
bot 9Riley Greene hit by pitch. Dillon Dingler to 2nd.
bot 9Dillon Dingler walks.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle pops out to third baseman José Ramírez in foul territory.
top 9Travis Bazzana flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9David Fry strikes out swinging.
top 9Rhys Hoskins strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
José Ramírez 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Travis Bazzana 2-5 · Angel Martínez 2-5, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Vierling 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Riley Greene 2-2, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.