Statball

← All live games · Comerica Park

Toronto Blue Jays
2
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678910111
Jays · 5 H, 1 ETigers · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Dillon Dingler strikes out swinging.
bot 10Kevin McGonigle grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Zack Short to 3rd.
bot 10Jake Rogers grounds out, shortstop Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
top 10Ernie Clement flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 10Lenyn Sosa doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Daulton Varsho to 3rd.
top 10Myles Straw flies out to right fielder Zach McKinstry.
top 10Daulton Varsho singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.21
top 10Kazuma Okamoto grounds out, third baseman Gage Workman to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Yohendrick Piñango 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 2-3, 1 RBI · Lenyn Sosa 1-4
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Vierling 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-5 · Zach McKinstry 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.