Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
1
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Jays · 7 H, 0 ETigers · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Zach McKinstry flies out to shortstop Andrés Giménez.
bot 9Matt Vierling walks.
top 9Davis Schneider grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Andrés Giménez grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Ernie Clement grounds out, shortstop Kevin McGonigle to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Riley Greene grounds out, second baseman Davis Schneider to first baseman Lenyn Sosa.
bot 8Jahmai Jones grounds into a force out, third baseman Ernie Clement to second baseman Davis Schneider. Wenceel Pérez scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd. Dillon Dingler out at 2nd. Jahmai Jones to 1st.41

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daulton Varsho 2-3, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 1-4
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 2-3 · Gage Workman 1-4 · Zach McKinstry 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.