Statball

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Boston Red Sox
10
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 12 H, 0 ETigers · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Zach McKinstry strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Spencer Torkelson lines out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Caleb Durbin flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
bot 8Wenceel Pérez lines out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 8Riley Greene called out on strikes.
bot 8Dillon Dingler called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 70 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Vierling 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jahmai Jones 1-1 · Riley Greene 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.