Statball

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Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922
Sox · 4 H, 0 ETigers · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Torkelson flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 9Zach McKinstry pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
bot 9Jahmai Jones grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Wilyer Abreu flies out to center fielder Matt Vierling.
top 9Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
top 9Jarren Duran walks.
top 9Caleb Durbin grounds out, third baseman Colt Keith to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Dillon Dingler strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Masataka Yoshida 2-4 · Caleb Durbin 1-4, 1 RBI · Marcelo Mayer 1-3
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 58 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 2-4 · Matt Vierling 1-3 · Colt Keith 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.