Statball

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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
4
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 12 H, 2 ETigers · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Hao-Yu Lee flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu in foul territory.
bot 9Wenceel Pérez grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela lines into a double play, shortstop Zack Short to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Wilyer Abreu out at 1st.
top 9Wilyer Abreu walks.
top 9Trevor Story strikes out swinging.
bot 8Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
bot 8Dillon Dingler doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Colt Keith scores. Matt Vierling scores.54

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-5 · Masataka Yoshida 2-4
Detroit Tigers
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 1-4 · Dillon Dingler 1-4, 2 RBI · Colt Keith 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.