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Kansas City Royals
9
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
10
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 13 H, 0 ETigers · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Colt Keith singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Riley Greene scores.910
bot 9Riley Greene doubles (6) on a ground ball to right fielder Jac Caglianone. Gleyber Torres scores. Kevin McGonigle scores.99
bot 9Dillon Dingler lines out to second baseman Jonathan India.
bot 9Kerry Carpenter strikes out swinging.
bot 9Gleyber Torres singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jac Caglianone.
top 9Carter Jensen flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9Salvador Perez strikes out swinging.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino homers (1) on a line drive to right field.97

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Vinnie Pasquantino 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bobby Witt Jr. 3-5, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Riley Greene 3-4, 2 RBI · Gleyber Torres 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.