Statball

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Kansas City Royals
1
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912
Royals · 5 H, 0 ETigers · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Starling Marte flies out to center fielder Javier Báez.
top 9Vinnie Pasquantino grounds out, second baseman Zach McKinstry to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Salvador Perez grounds out softly, third baseman Colt Keith to first baseman Spencer Torkelson. Lane Thomas to 3rd.
top 9Lane Thomas singles on a line drive to center fielder Javier Báez.
bot 8Wenceel Pérez grounds out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
bot 8Dillon Dingler doubles (2) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Lane Thomas. Kevin McGonigle scores.12
bot 8Kevin McGonigle walks.
bot 8Colt Keith lines out to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Salvador Perez 1-4 · Starling Marte 1-4 · Maikel Garcia 1-4
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Dillon Dingler 2-4, 1 RBI · Zach McKinstry 1-3 · Matt Vierling 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.