Statball

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Miami Marlins
1
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 6 H, 2 ETigers · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jakob Marsee grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.
top 9Graham Pauley walks.
top 9Connor Norby flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
bot 8Zach McKinstry grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Riley Greene scores.16
bot 8Kerry Carpenter flies out to right fielder Owen Caissie.
bot 8Riley Greene walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-3 · Liam Hicks 1-4
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 2-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 1-3 · Kerry Carpenter 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.