Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
6
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
11
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 6 H, 1 ETigers · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
top 9Alec Burleson walks.
bot 8Kerry Carpenter strikes out swinging.
bot 8Gleyber Torres walks. Kevin McGonigle to 2nd.
bot 8Matt Vierling homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Spencer Torkelson scores.611
bot 8Parker Meadows called out on strikes.
bot 8Spencer Torkelson singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker.
bot 8Zach McKinstry grounds out to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 5 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 1-2 · Alec Burleson 1-4, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 12 batters faced over the last two days
Zach McKinstry 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Gleyber Torres 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Kerry Carpenter 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.