Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894121
Cardinals · 6 H, 0 ETigers · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Matt Vierling flies out to shortstop Thomas Saggese.
bot 9Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kevin McGonigle grounds out softly, first baseman Alec Burleson to pitcher Riley O'Brien.
top 9Victor Scott II caught stealing 2nd base, catcher Dillon Dingler to shortstop Javier Báez.
top 9Victor Scott II singles on a ground ball to center fielder Parker Meadows.
top 9Pedro Pagés grounds out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
top 9Nathan Church grounds out, pitcher Connor Seabold to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 8Jahmai Jones strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Gorman 1-3, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 1-3 · Victor Scott II 1-3, 1 RBI
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Kerry Carpenter 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Parker Meadows 2-4 · Riley Greene 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.