Statball

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Miami Marlins
0
0% — our call
Final
Detroit Tigers
2
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityDetroit Tigers
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Tigers in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 2 H, 1 ETigers · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Tigers win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Tigers win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Agustín Ramírez flies out to right fielder Wenceel Pérez.
top 9Xavier Edwards flies out to center fielder Javier Báez.
top 9Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.
bot 8Kerry Carpenter called out on strikes.
bot 8Dillon Dingler reaches on catcher interference by Liam Hicks. Riley Greene to 2nd. Dillon Dingler to 1st.
bot 8Riley Greene singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Colt Keith flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 8Gleyber Torres strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Xavier Edwards 1-4 · Connor Norby 1-2 · Jakob Marsee 0-4
Detroit Tigers
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Báez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colt Keith 2-4 · Riley Greene 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.