Statball

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Seattle Mariners
2
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 4 H, 0 ERockies · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brett Sullivan strikes out swinging.
bot 9Adael Amador walks.
bot 9Cole Carrigg strikes out swinging.
bot 9TJ Rumfield walks.
bot 9Hunter Goodman homers (39) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
bot 9Connor Norby flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
top 9With Cole Young batting, Josh Naylor picked off and caught stealing 2nd base, shortstop Cole Carrigg.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, pitcher Jimmy Herget to shortstop Cole Carrigg. Julio Rodríguez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dominic Canzone 2-4, 2 RBI · J.P. Crawford 1-4 · Julio Rodríguez 1-3
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Hunter Goodman 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Adael Amador 1-3 · Jake McCarthy 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.