Statball

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Seattle Mariners
5
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
4
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 9 H, 1 ERockies · 15 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Karros called out on strikes.
bot 9Cole Carrigg singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lazaro Montes.
top 9Dominic Canzone flies out to left fielder Jake McCarthy.
top 9Randy Arozarena singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg, deflected by pitcher Jordan Romano.
top 9J.P. Crawford flies out to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
top 9Michael Arroyo strikes out swinging.
top 9Lazaro Montes homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.5–4

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lazaro Montes 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Randy Arozarena 3-4 · J.P. Crawford 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake McCarthy 3-5, 2 RBI · Cole Carrigg 3-5, 1 RBI · Connor Norby 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.