Statball

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Seattle Mariners
3
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
5
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892114
Mariners · 8 H, 3 ERockies · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Weston Wilson strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Lazaro Montes strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Arroyo singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Beck.
top 9Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Connor Norby to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
bot 8Jake McCarthy reaches on a throwing error by second baseman Michael Arroyo. Jake McCarthy out at 2nd, catcher Cal Raleigh to shortstop J.P. Crawford.
bot 8Jordan Beck strikes out swinging.
bot 8Zac Veen strikes out swinging.
top 8Julio Rodríguez grounds out, third baseman Kyle Karros to first baseman TJ Rumfield.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cal Raleigh 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Randy Arozarena 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Michael Arroyo 2-4
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Rumfield 2-4, 1 RBI · Connor Norby 2-4 · Adael Amador 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.