Statball

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San Diego Padres
9
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
3
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 13 H, 0 ERockies · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ezequiel Tovar grounds out, third baseman Manny Machado to first baseman Ty France.
bot 9Braxton Fulford walks.
bot 9Jordan Beck walks.
bot 9Troy Johnston grounds out, first baseman Ty France to pitcher Yuki Matsui.
bot 9Adael Amador strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Jake Cronenworth strikes out swinging.
top 9Sung-Mun Song strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ethan Salas 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Jackson Merrill 3-5 · Dustin Harris 2-4, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Karros 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jordan Beck 1-3 · Ezequiel Tovar 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.