Statball

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San Diego Padres
3
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
9
100% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 11 H, 0 ERockies · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to second baseman Adael Amador to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Dustin Harris out at 2nd. Fernando Tatis Jr. out at 1st.
top 9Jake Cronenworth flies out to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
top 9Dustin Harris singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ezequiel Tovar.
bot 8Kyle Karros lines out to shortstop Xander Bogaerts.
bot 8TJ Rumfield grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France.
top 8Luis Campusano flies out to right fielder Zac Veen.
top 8Xander Bogaerts strikes out on a foul tip.
top 8Jackson Merrill flies out to left fielder Jake McCarthy.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Campusano 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Austin Hays 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Fernando Tatis Jr. 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Carrigg 4-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Troy Johnston 3-3, 2 RBI · Jake McCarthy 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.