Statball

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San Diego Padres
8
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
7
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 13 H, 0 ERockies · 14 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Karros singles on a sharp ground ball to pitcher Mason Miller.
bot 9Cole Carrigg strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis Campusano strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.
top 9Ty France lines out to second baseman Connor Norby.
bot 8TJ Rumfield grounds out softly, pitcher Adrian Morejon to first baseman Ty France.
bot 8Brett Sullivan grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Ty France. Connor Norby to 3rd.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Merrill 3-5, 1 RBI · Manny Machado 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ty France 3-5, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Carrigg 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake McCarthy 2-5, 2 RBI · Hunter Goodman 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.