Statball

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Miami Marlins
4
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
14
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 6 H, 0 ERockies · 14 H, 1 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kyle Stowers called out on strikes.
top 9Otto Lopez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
top 9Leo Jiménez flies out to left fielder Mickey Moniak.
bot 8Edouard Julien flies out to right fielder Griffin Conine.
bot 8Brett Sullivan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine. Troy Johnston scores. Kyle Karros to 2nd.414
bot 8Kyle Karros walks.
bot 8Cole Carrigg out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heriberto Hernández. TJ Rumfield scores.413
bot 8Troy Johnston doubles (23) on a fly ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. TJ Rumfield to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Otto Lopez 3-5 · Javier Sanoja 2-4 · Kyle Stowers 1-4
Colorado Rockies
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake McCarthy 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Brett Sullivan 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.