Statball

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Miami Marlins
3
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
6
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 7 H, 1 ERockies · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Xavier Edwards lines out to right fielder Tyler Freeman.
top 9Leo Jiménez lines out sharply to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
top 9Kyle Stowers called out on strikes.
bot 8Willi Castro flies out to right fielder Kyle Stowers.
bot 8TJ Rumfield lines out to right fielder Kyle Stowers.
bot 8Hunter Goodman strikes out swinging.
top 8Javier Sanoja lines out sharply to second baseman Willi Castro.
top 8Griffin Conine grounds out sharply, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Joe Mack 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-4 · Heriberto Hernández 1-3
Colorado Rockies
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Hunter Goodman 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Karros 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.