Statball

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Miami Marlins
14
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
3
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 21 H, 0 ERockies · 5 H, 2 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake McCarthy flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Ezequiel Tovar doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Griffin Conine. Kyle Karros scores.143
bot 9Kyle Karros doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Griffin Conine.
top 9Jakob Marsee grounds into a double play, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Xavier Edwards out at 2nd. Jakob Marsee out at 1st.
top 9Xavier Edwards singles on a line drive to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Kyle Stowers to 3rd. Griffin Conine to 2nd.
top 9Griffin Conine walks.
top 9Kyle Stowers doubles (16) on a fly ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Leo Jiménez scores.142

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Javier Sanoja 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Griffin Conine 4-5, 2 RBI · Xavier Edwards 4-6, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Carrigg 1-4 · Ezequiel Tovar 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.