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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
2
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111211
Sox · 11 H, 1 ERockies · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake McCarthy grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 9Edouard Julien strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ezequiel Tovar homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.52
bot 9Troy Johnston grounds out, first baseman Willson Contreras to pitcher Garrett Whitlock.
top 9Caleb Durbin grounds into a force out, third baseman Willi Castro to second baseman Edouard Julien. Willson Contreras out at 2nd.
top 9Jarren Duran lines out to third baseman Willi Castro.
top 9Willson Contreras singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy.
top 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out to first baseman TJ Rumfield.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nate Eaton 3-4, 2 RBI · Anthony Seigler 2-3
Colorado Rockies
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Willi Castro 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ezequiel Tovar 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Troy Johnston 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.