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Boston Red Sox
6
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
8
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 11 H, 2 ERockies · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
top 9Nate Eaton lines out sharply to left fielder Mickey Moniak.
top 9Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jake McCarthy strikes out swinging.
bot 8Cole Carrigg doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Willi Castro scores. TJ Rumfield to 3rd.68
bot 8Hunter Goodman lines out sharply to second baseman Andruw Monasterio.
bot 8TJ Rumfield singles on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Willi Castro to 3rd.
bot 8Tyler Freeman out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Willson Contreras to second baseman Andruw Monasterio. Mickey Moniak scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.67

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Connor Wong 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 3-5, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Willi Castro 3-5 · Jake McCarthy 2-5, 1 RBI · Cole Carrigg 2-4, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.