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Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
2
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 6 H, 0 ERockies · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Kyle Karros. Billy Cook out at 3rd. Nick Gonzales to 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.
top 9Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Gonzales hit by pitch. Billy Cook to 2nd.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to second baseman Willi Castro. Brandon Lowe to 3rd.
top 9Brandon Lowe doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
bot 8Troy Johnston grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Hunter Goodman pops out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4 · Bryan Reynolds 1-4
Colorado Rockies
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Jake McCarthy 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Cole Carrigg 1-2 · TJ Rumfield 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.