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Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
6
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892123132
Pirates · 13 H, 1 ERockies · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Willi Castro grounds into a double play, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Jake McCarthy out at 2nd. Willi Castro out at 1st.
bot 9Jake McCarthy singles on a soft ground ball to second baseman Brandon Lowe. Kyle Karros scores. Throwing error by second baseman Brandon Lowe.86
bot 9Hunter Goodman strikes out swinging.
bot 9Kyle Karros doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Callihan. Braxton Fulford scores.85
bot 9Braxton Fulford walks.
top 9Billy Cook strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
top 9Brandon Lowe flies out to center fielder Cole Carrigg.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Mangum 3-4, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
11 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Rumfield 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jake McCarthy 2-5 · Willi Castro 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.