Statball

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Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
3
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 5 H, 0 ERockies · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake McCarthy triples (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. TJ Rumfield scores. Hunter Goodman scores. Cole Carrigg scores.23
bot 9Cole Carrigg singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Caleb Durbin. TJ Rumfield to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.
bot 9Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.
bot 9TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Marcelo Mayer grounds out, pitcher Victor Vodnik to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
top 9Andruw Monasterio flies out to left fielder Mickey Moniak. Caleb Durbin to 3rd.
top 9Masataka Yoshida grounds out, third baseman Willi Castro to first baseman TJ Rumfield. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.
top 9Caleb Durbin walks.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Caleb Durbin 2-3, 1 RBI · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-2
Colorado Rockies
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Freeman 3-4 · Mickey Moniak 1-1 · Jake McCarthy 1-4, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.