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Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
4
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 0 ERockies · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 9Endy Rodríguez walks. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.
top 9Brandon Lowe reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Ezequiel Tovar. Henry Davis to 3rd. Henry Davis advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by shortstop Ezequiel Tovar.
top 9Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Freeman.
bot 8Ezequiel Tovar strikes out swinging.
bot 8Braxton Fulford doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Tyler Freeman scores. Cole Carrigg scores.34
bot 8Cole Carrigg singles on a ground ball to left fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Tyler Freeman to 2nd.
bot 8Tyler Freeman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Triolo 2-4, 1 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-4 · Bryan Reynolds 1-1, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
10 on the injured list · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Rumfield 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ezequiel Tovar 2-4 · Jake McCarthy 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.