Statball

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Chicago Cubs
3
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
7
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912232
Cubs · 8 H, 0 ERockies · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Pedro Ramírez grounds out, first baseman TJ Rumfield to pitcher Jaden Hill.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
top 9Dansby Swanson grounds into a force out, third baseman Kyle Karros to second baseman Willi Castro. Carson Kelly out at 2nd. Dansby Swanson to 1st.
top 9Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg.
bot 8Troy Johnston grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 8Hoby Milner intentionally walks Hunter Goodman.
bot 8TJ Rumfield grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Willi Castro to 3rd.
bot 8Willi Castro doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Busch 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-3, 1 RBI · Carson Kelly 1-1
Colorado Rockies
13 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Willi Castro 3-5 · Hunter Goodman 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ezequiel Tovar 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.