Statball

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New York Mets
10
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
5
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 15 H, 0 ERockies · 13 H, 1 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Kyle Karros called out on strikes.
bot 9Jordan Beck strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tyler Freeman hit by pitch. Mickey Moniak scores. Hunter Goodman to 3rd. TJ Rumfield to 2nd.105
bot 9TJ Rumfield singles on a line drive to left fielder Juan Soto. Mickey Moniak to 3rd. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.
bot 9Hunter Goodman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Carson Benge. Mickey Moniak to 2nd.
bot 9Mickey Moniak singles on a ground ball to center fielder Carson Benge, deflected by second baseman Marcus Semien.
bot 9Edouard Julien strikes out swinging.
top 9Francisco Alvarez lines out sharply to right fielder Tyler Freeman.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Juan Soto 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Bo Bichette 2-5, 1 RBI
Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Rumfield 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake McCarthy 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Troy Johnston 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.