Statball

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New York Mets
4
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
2
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 4 H, 0 ERockies · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Troy Johnston strikes out swinging.
bot 9Willi Castro flies out to center fielder Carson Benge.
bot 9Hunter Goodman flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
top 9Brett Baty grounds out to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
top 9Mark Vientos lines out to second baseman Edouard Julien.
top 9Tyrone Taylor flies out to center fielder Mickey Moniak.
bot 8TJ Rumfield flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8Mickey Moniak triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Tyrone Taylor.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Carson Benge 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis Torrens 1-3, 1 RBI · Francisco Alvarez 1-3
Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 57 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 2-4 · Willi Castro 1-4 · Jordan Beck 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.