Statball

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San Diego Padres
1
100% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
0
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Padres · 6 H, 0 ERockies · 3 H, 1 E
0%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Hunter Goodman flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
bot 9Mickey Moniak strikes out swinging.
bot 9Edouard Julien strikes out swinging.
top 9Freddy Fermin doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Miguel Andujar to 3rd.
top 9Miguel Andujar singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jordan Beck.
top 9Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
top 9Xander Bogaerts flies out to right fielder Troy Johnston.
bot 8Willi Castro flies out to third baseman Manny Machado in foul territory.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Fernando Tatis Jr. 2-4 · Freddy Fermin 1-3 · Miguel Andujar 1-4
Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 55 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Moniak 1-4 · Edouard Julien 1-4 · Hunter Goodman 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.