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Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
Colorado Rockies
5
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityColorado Rockies
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Rockies in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 3 H, 0 ERockies · 10 H, 1 E
100%
Rockies win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Rockies win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Christian Walker grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
top 9Isaac Paredes strikes out swinging.
top 9Jose Altuve strikes out swinging.
bot 8Willi Castro strikes out swinging.
bot 8TJ Rumfield grounds out, shortstop Jeremy Peña to first baseman Christian Walker.
bot 8Troy Johnston flies out to center fielder Jake Meyers.
top 8Yordan Alvarez flies out to center fielder Brenton Doyle.
top 8Jeremy Peña flies out to right fielder Mickey Moniak.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
8 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 1-4 · Cam Smith 1-3
Colorado Rockies
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Willi Castro 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Mickey Moniak 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · TJ Rumfield 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.