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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Cleveland Guardians
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityCleveland Guardians
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Guardians in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 9 H, 0 EGuardians · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Guardians win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Guardians win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Travis Bazzana singles on a ground ball to center fielder Max Clark. Brayan Rocchio scores.3–4
bot 10Steven Kwan flies out to center fielder Max Clark.
bot 10Brayan Rocchio reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman Colt Keith to shortstop Kevin McGonigle. Patrick Bailey out at 3rd.
top 10Eduardo Valencia grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 10Kevin McGonigle grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Javier Báez to 3rd.
top 10Dillon Dingler grounds out to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
bot 9Patrick Bailey strikes out swinging.
bot 9Angel Genao grounds out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-5, 1 RBI · Gleyber Torres 2-4 · Zach McKinstry 1-4
Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nathaniel Lowe 1-2, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.